The Corona Effect


Everything that we see on the news is about Corona.  Corona, Corona, Corona!!!  Almost like a bad episode of The Brady Bunch…  It’s effing depressing…

I’ve been thinking about the following, and Douglas Flint over at American Thinker beat me to it.  Some excerpts from the article follow:

I fear Donald Trump has taken the bait and he knows this.  He is trapped in a car barreling down the highway toward economic disaster and a great depression, and he knows it.  He is desperately looking for an off ramp but unfortunately he has turned the accelerator and the wheel over to the “experts.”

The “experts” are people of genuine theoretical scientific knowledge but no real-world experience and no capability of risk assessment beyond the specific risks in their chosen field.  They are focused on the virus and only the virus, because it is not their job to worry about anything but the virus.  They could, without blinking an eye, recommend a six-month in-home lock-down.  You could scream, “But people will starve by the millions!”  That is not their concern.  If they starve to death in their homes, they did not die of corona virus and thus the “experts” have done their jobs.  It doesn’t help that almost all of them are government employees for life guaranteed to receive full pay and benefits until the end of the known universe.  They are not capable of grasping the concept that no work equals no pay, no insurance, no food, and finally nowhere to live.

But there’s another bunch of people in that car.  Malevolent people within the government, federal and state, who would love nothing more than to slam the car into the wall, destroy the economy, the lives of millions of people, and destroy America’s preeminence in the world, and the Trump presidency, in order to give themselves the ultimate power, the power of life or death over each citizen.  They will fight furiously when and if the president tries to take back control of the car.

At some point very soon, Trump will have to accept the fact that the ones he has turned the car over to are not going to stop, slow down, or turn.  There is no incentive or reason for them to do so.  So far, Trump has confined himself to tossing money out the windows of the speeding car hoping somehow this will soften the blow.  It won’t and it can’t.

Insane ideas are being hatched (in a Harvard faculty lounge?) such as loaning businesses money to pay employees when there’s no productive work to do or revenues to collect, with a fingers-crossed promise that the loans will be “forgiven” if certain criteria are met.  But we know our government bureaucrats  all too well.  Contributed to DNC?  Loan forgiven.  Contributed to RNC?  Sorry, you needed to spend 80% of that loan on payroll, but records show you only spent 79.97% on payroll.  Payback in full plus penalty interest.  Don’t have it?  Sell the business to my friend or family or give Uncle Sam a controlling stake.

No, the smart play, the only play for any businessman is to lay off your employees.  No telling how long this will go on, so why burden yourself with an insane relationship with the federal government?  Your employees will probably be better off drawing full unemployment and you’ll probably be able to pick them up at a considerable discount when and if the crisis starts to ease.

And the longer this goes on, the harder the recovery will be.  Inflation will be a major factor if money is continuously tossed out of the car.  States will have to raise the unemployment premiums on the few surviving businesses in order to cover their enormous outlays.  People will not want to, or be able to, go back to life as usual or spending as usual.  After all, what has happened once can happen again.  Better to hunker down, don’t buy that new car, don’t upgrade that house, don’t spend that $150 on a dinner out or a rock concert.  Become more like our depression-era grandparents.

The sad and scary part is that the safe political bet for Trump is to let the “experts” slam the car into the wall, destroy the country and the lives of millions, and rule as a new-era FDR, with the country in permanent depression, the capital hidden in walls, under rocks, or in treasury notes until better times.

The right thing to do, even if it costs him the presidency, is to kick the crazy “expert” driver out of the car and grab the wheel and steer for the off ramp.  It may already be too late.  But it’s the only chance to save the country.

And yes, those he kicks out of the car or subdues will all become his open enemies now with twice the power because of the trust he gave them in the first place, and because of the media’s readiness to embrace them as they trash the president daily on all the networks.

As I start Week 4 working from home, I’m more fortunate than some in my company.  My company is a manufacturing company complete with an engineering department.  Our plants are shut down, and the employees furloughed.  Slowly, the office staff is being furloughed as well as funding for continuing the projects that need to be built (but can’t) dry up.  The engineering department that I am a part of deals with the  designs of products to be built and sold to customers, but that will not last.  While I still have funding, it won’t be forever as that funding will go away within the next 2 to 3 weeks (my guess) because all businesses operate on cash flow.  If we’re not building, we’re not receiving compensation for our work.  No business has an endless supply of money – eventually, it will run out.

Other items that I’ve tried to keep track of is the myriad of executive orders from governors and other officials throughout the country.  One of the most insane are the orders of some governors to release prisoners from jail, their directions to law enforcement to ignore forms of some crime, close gun stores (but let’s keep the marijuana dispensaries and liquor stores open), and plead with the criminals not to commit crimes during this crisis.  I have no idea how that’s going to keep the law-abiding safe, but seems to increase the likelihood of more victims without a means to protect themselves.

But despite this, firearm sales were at an all time high in March, so perhaps some people are getting a clue that government will not keep you safe, but only you are responsible for your own safety.

Regardless, we will not go back to the way things were before.  Our new “normal” may not be to our liking.

Stay safe, my friends.

About Tom Roland

Tom Roland is my pen name for this blog. With that in mind... EE for 35 Years, Two Patents - now a certified PMP. Married twice, burned once. One son with Asperger's Syndrome. Two cats. Conservative leaning to the Right. NRA Life Member.
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